Abilene Christian
W-L: ( 8-41) PR = 87.7380Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 205 A Texas A&M SEC (38-19, 96.8) 0- 8 205 A Utah State MW (22-32, 89.4) 0- 8 206 H Utah State MW (22-32, 89.4) 2- 4 206 A Bryant AE ( 3-12, 86.8) 1- 2 207 H Bryant AE ( 3-12, 86.8) 6- 9 211 H South Dakota State SM ( 8-14, 92.0) 3-12 211 H South Dakota State SM ( 8-14, 92.0) 5- 8 212 A Texas SEC (52-13, 99.0) 0-11 213 A Northern Illinois MA ( 2- 7, 89.2) 5- 7 213 A Syracuse ACC (19-27, 88.9) 1- 2 214 A Ohio State B10 (24-28, 93.8) 7-15 220 H New Mexico MW (26-27, 92.2) 7- 6 220 H New Mexico MW (26-27, 92.2) 7-13 221 H New Mexico MW (26-27, 92.2) 1- 9 226 A Texas Tech B12 (60-11, 99.2) 0-24 227 A Detroit Mercy HL ( 0- 8, 86.2) 13- 6 227 A North Texas AC (31-24, 92.5) 2-10 228 H North Texas AC (31-24, 92.5) 6-16 228 H Texas A&M-Corpus Chris SL ( 2-18, 87.6) 5-13 307 A Louisiana SB (28-28, 93.2) 3-10 307 A Oklahoma SEC (51-11, 99.9) 0- 8 308 H Louisiana SB (28-28, 93.2) 1-11 308 A Oklahoma SEC (51-11, 99.9) 0- 9 310 A BYU B12 (19-29, 91.4) 1-10 310 A Illinois State MV ( 5- 5, 91.8) 6- 3 311 A Utah B12 (36-19, 95.3) 0-13 311 A Utah B12 (36-19, 95.3) 3-13 312 A Utah B12 (36-19, 95.3) 9- 4 320 H UT Arlington WAC (25-22, 91.1) 6-11 320 H UT Arlington WAC (25-22, 91.1) 8-12 321 H UT Arlington WAC (25-22, 91.1) 7- 2 325 A North Texas AC (31-24, 92.5) 3- 5 331 H Texas Tech B12 (60-11, 99.2) 1- 9 402 A Tarleton State WAC (35-22, 91.5) 0- 8 403 A Tarleton State WAC (35-22, 91.5) 0- 1 403 A Tarleton State WAC (35-22, 91.5) 7- 0 410 H Utah Valley WAC (28-21, 91.3) 11- 2 410 H Utah Valley WAC (28-21, 91.3) 1-11 411 H Utah Valley WAC (28-21, 91.3) 7- 8 415 H North Texas AC (31-24, 92.5) 7- 9 417 A Southern Utah WAC (22-27, 90.7) 3-11 417 A Southern Utah WAC (22-27, 90.7) 6- 7 418 A Southern Utah WAC (22-27, 90.7) 3- 5 424 H California Baptist WAC (37-19, 93.2) 0-13 424 H California Baptist WAC (37-19, 93.2) 3-10 425 H California Baptist WAC (37-19, 93.2) 0-10 501 A Utah Tech WAC (20-31, 89.2) 3- 6 501 A Utah Tech WAC (20-31, 89.2) 13-10 502 A Utah Tech WAC (20-31, 89.2) 8- 9
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
205 A Texas A&M 0- 8 -8 -10 1.79
205 A Utah State 0- 8 -8 -2 -- -5.60
206 H Utah State 2- 4 -2 -1 -1.08
206 A Bryant 1- 2 -1 0 -1.19
207 H Bryant 6- 9 -3 2 -- -4.67
211 H South Dakota State 3-12 -9 -4 -- -5.44
211 H South Dakota State 5- 8 -3 -4 0.56
212 A Texas 0-11 -11 -12 0.96
213 A Northern Illinois 5- 7 -2 -2 0.24
213 A Syracuse 1- 2 -1 -2 0.89
214 A Ohio State 7-15 -8 -7 -1.15
220 H New Mexico 7- 6 1 -4 ++ 4.72
220 H New Mexico 7-13 -6 -4 - -2.28
221 H New Mexico 1- 9 -8 -4 -- -4.28
226 A Texas Tech 0-24 -24 -12 -1.76
227 A Detroit Mercy 13- 6 7 1 +++ 6.23
227 A North Texas 2-10 -8 -5 - -2.54
228 H North Texas 6-16 -10 -4 --- -6.02
228 H Texas A&M-Corpus Chris 5-13 -8 1 --- -8.92
307 A Louisiana 3-10 -7 -6 -0.78
307 A Oklahoma 0- 8 -8 -13 ++ 4.90
308 H Louisiana 1-11 -10 -5 -- -5.26
308 A Oklahoma 0- 9 -9 -13 + 3.90
310 A BYU 1-10 -9 -4 -- -4.57
310 A Illinois State 6- 3 3 -5 +++ 7.78
311 A Utah 0-13 -13 -8 -- -4.68
311 A Utah 3-13 -10 -8 -1.68
312 A Utah 9- 4 5 -8 +++ 13.32
320 H UT Arlington 6-11 -5 -3 - -2.33
320 H UT Arlington 8-12 -4 -3 -1.33
321 H UT Arlington 7- 2 5 -3 +++ 7.67
325 A North Texas 3- 5 -2 -5 + 3.46
331 H Texas Tech 1- 9 -8 -11 + 2.76
402 A Tarleton State 0- 8 -8 -4 - -3.52
403 A Tarleton State 7- 0 7 -4 +++ 11.48
410 H Utah Valley 11- 2 9 -3 +++ 11.84
410 H Utah Valley 1-11 -10 -3 --- -7.16
411 H Utah Valley 7- 8 -1 -3 1.84
415 H North Texas 7- 9 -2 -4 1.98
417 A Southern Utah 3-11 -8 -4 -- -4.29
417 A Southern Utah 6- 7 -1 -4 + 2.71
418 A Southern Utah 3- 5 -2 -4 1.71
424 H California Baptist 0-13 -13 -5 --- -8.27
424 H California Baptist 3-10 -7 -5 - -2.27
425 H California Baptist 0-10 -10 -5 -- -5.27
501 A Utah Tech 3- 6 -3 -2 -0.80
501 A Utah Tech 13-10 3 -2 ++ 5.20
502 A Utah Tech 8- 9 -1 -2 1.20
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 H North Texas 6-16 -10 -4 --- -6.02 228 H Texas A&M-Corpus Chris 5-13 -8 1 --- -8.92 410 H Utah Valley 1-11 -10 -3 --- -7.16 424 H California Baptist 0-13 -13 -5 --- -8.27 205 A Utah State 0- 8 -8 -2 -- -5.60 207 H Bryant 6- 9 -3 2 -- -4.67 211 H South Dakota State 3-12 -9 -4 -- -5.44 221 H New Mexico 1- 9 -8 -4 -- -4.28 308 H Louisiana 1-11 -10 -5 -- -5.26 310 A BYU 1-10 -9 -4 -- -4.57 311 A Utah 0-13 -13 -8 -- -4.68 417 A Southern Utah 3-11 -8 -4 -- -4.29 425 H California Baptist 0-10 -10 -5 -- -5.27 220 H New Mexico 7-13 -6 -4 - -2.28 227 A North Texas 2-10 -8 -5 - -2.54 320 H UT Arlington 6-11 -5 -3 - -2.33 402 A Tarleton State 0- 8 -8 -4 - -3.52 424 H California Baptist 3-10 -7 -5 - -2.27 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 227 A Detroit Mercy 13- 6 7 1 +++ 6.23 310 A Illinois State 6- 3 3 -5 +++ 7.78 312 A Utah 9- 4 5 -8 +++ 13.32 321 H UT Arlington 7- 2 5 -3 +++ 7.67 403 A Tarleton State 7- 0 7 -4 +++ 11.48 410 H Utah Valley 11- 2 9 -3 +++ 11.84 220 H New Mexico 7- 6 1 -4 ++ 4.72 307 A Oklahoma 0- 8 -8 -13 ++ 4.90 501 A Utah Tech 13-10 3 -2 ++ 5.20 308 A Oklahoma 0- 9 -9 -13 + 3.90 325 A North Texas 3- 5 -2 -5 + 3.46 331 H Texas Tech 1- 9 -8 -11 + 2.76 417 A Southern Utah 6- 7 -1 -4 + 2.71 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Texas A&M (38-19, 96.8) 0- 8 -3.12 16.25 0.74 0.51 -0.61
3 A Utah State (22-32, 89.4) 0- 8 -10.50 8.87 0.74 0.51 -2.51
3 H Utah State (22-32, 89.4) 2- 4 -10.50 8.87 -0.74 0.51 -2.89
3 A Bryant ( 3-12, 86.8) 1- 2 -13.09 6.28 0.74 0.51 -3.18
3 H Bryant ( 3-12, 86.8) 6- 9 -13.09 6.28 -0.74 0.51 -3.56
3 H South Dakota S ( 8-14, 92.0) 3-12 -7.86 11.51 -0.74 0.51 -2.21
3 H South Dakota S ( 8-14, 92.0) 5- 8 -7.86 11.51 -0.74 0.51 -2.21
3 A Texas (52-13, 99.0) 0-11 -0.94 18.43 0.74 0.51 -0.05
3 A Northern Illin ( 2- 7, 89.2) 5- 7 -10.66 8.71 0.74 0.51 -2.55
3 A Syracuse (19-27, 88.9) 1- 2 -11.02 8.35 0.74 0.51 -2.64
3 A Ohio State (24-28, 93.8) 7-15 -6.05 13.32 0.74 0.51 -1.37
3 H New Mexico (26-27, 92.2) 7- 6 -7.70 11.67 -0.74 0.51 11.24
3 H New Mexico (26-27, 92.2) 7-13 -7.70 11.67 -0.74 0.51 -2.17
3 H New Mexico (26-27, 92.2) 1- 9 -7.70 11.67 -0.74 0.51 -2.17
3 A Texas Tech (60-11, 99.2) 0-24 -0.66 18.71 0.74 0.51 -0.02
3 A Detroit Mercy ( 0- 8, 86.2) 13- 6 -13.68 5.69 0.74 0.51 6.62
3 A North Texas (31-24, 92.5) 2-10 -7.44 11.93 0.74 0.51 -1.72
3 H North Texas (31-24, 92.5) 6-16 -7.44 11.93 -0.74 0.51 -2.11
3 H Texas A&M-Corp ( 2-18, 87.6) 5-13 -12.34 7.03 -0.74 0.51 -3.36
3 A Louisiana (28-28, 93.2) 3-10 -6.68 12.69 0.74 0.51 -1.53
3 A Oklahoma (51-11, 99.9) 0- 8 -0.00 19.37 0.74 0.51 -0.19
3 H Louisiana (28-28, 93.2) 1-11 -6.68 12.69 -0.74 0.51 -1.91
3 A Oklahoma (51-11, 99.9) 0- 9 -0.00 19.37 0.74 0.51 -0.19
3 A BYU (19-29, 91.4) 1-10 -8.48 10.89 0.74 0.51 -1.99
3 A Illinois State ( 5- 5, 91.8) 6- 3 -8.12 11.25 0.74 0.51 12.33
3 A Utah (36-19, 95.3) 0-13 -4.58 14.79 0.74 0.51 -0.99
3 A Utah (36-19, 95.3) 3-13 -4.58 14.79 0.74 0.51 -0.99
3 A Utah (36-19, 95.3) 9- 4 -4.58 14.79 0.74 0.51 15.98
3 H UT Arlington (25-22, 91.1) 6-11 -8.75 10.62 -0.74 0.51 -2.44
3 H UT Arlington (25-22, 91.1) 8-12 -8.75 10.62 -0.74 0.51 -2.44
3 H UT Arlington (25-22, 91.1) 7- 2 -8.75 10.62 -0.74 0.51 10.16
3 A North Texas (31-24, 92.5) 3- 5 -7.44 11.93 0.74 0.51 -1.72
3 H Texas Tech (60-11, 99.2) 1- 9 -0.66 18.71 -0.74 0.51 -0.36
3 A Tarleton State (35-22, 91.5) 0- 8 -8.43 10.94 0.74 0.51 -1.98
3 A Tarleton State (35-22, 91.5) 0- 1 -8.43 10.94 0.74 0.51 -1.98
3 A Tarleton State (35-22, 91.5) 7- 0 -8.43 10.94 0.74 0.51 12.02
3 H Utah Valley (28-21, 91.3) 11- 2 -8.58 10.79 -0.74 0.51 10.34
3 H Utah Valley (28-21, 91.3) 1-11 -8.58 10.79 -0.74 0.51 -2.40
3 H Utah Valley (28-21, 91.3) 7- 8 -8.58 10.79 -0.74 0.51 -2.40
3 H North Texas (31-24, 92.5) 7- 9 -7.44 11.93 -0.74 0.51 -2.11
3 A Southern Utah (22-27, 90.7) 3-11 -9.19 10.18 0.74 0.51 -2.17
3 A Southern Utah (22-27, 90.7) 6- 7 -9.19 10.18 0.74 0.51 -2.17
3 A Southern Utah (22-27, 90.7) 3- 5 -9.19 10.18 0.74 0.51 -2.17
3 H California Bap (37-19, 93.2) 0-13 -6.69 12.68 -0.74 0.51 -1.91
3 H California Bap (37-19, 93.2) 3-10 -6.69 12.68 -0.74 0.51 -1.91
3 H California Bap (37-19, 93.2) 0-10 -6.69 12.68 -0.74 0.51 -1.91
3 A Utah Tech (20-31, 89.2) 3- 6 -10.71 8.66 0.74 0.51 -2.56
3 A Utah Tech (20-31, 89.2) 13-10 -10.71 8.66 0.74 0.51 9.68
3 A Utah Tech (20-31, 89.2) 8- 9 -10.71 8.66 0.74 0.51 -2.56
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10.04
|
winning pts = 88.3618 losing points = -78.3208
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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